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Updated Construction Outlook Forecasts
Robust Activity Through 2008
New York City construction spending is estimated
to end 2005 at $18.4 billion, and could exceed $21 billion in each
of the next three years according to a preliminary update of the
New York Building Congress Construction Outlook report. The update
was prepared by the economic research firm Urbanomics in recognition of a rapidly
evolving construction marketplace and as a preview of the complete 2006-2008
report to be released early next year.
The update demonstrates that residential
construction continues at a record-setting pace, with 27,500 new units authorized
this year and nearly 30,000 units projected in each of the next three years.
Office construction slipped somewhat in 2005 with only one major
start and seven other Manhattan buildings in development but
is expected to more than rebound with 11 buildings planned for
2006-2008. Total 2005 nonresidential construction, which includes
spending by institutions, is expected to increase by $450 million
over 2004 and exceed $5 billion annually through 2008.
In its tradition
of identifying issues behind the expected spending levels, the
report notes that the forecast is contingent upon public spending
occurring as planned and the ability of the City of New York and
the major public agencies to resolve funding uncertainties.
“While
the construction outlook is indeed strong, much depends on the
public financing capacity of local government and major public
agencies,” says
Building Congress President Richard T. Anderson. “But the continued
growth in the residential market is extraordinary and the strength of the
institutional and infrastructure sectors is very reassuring. These investments
have all kinds of positive implications for the City and point to a very
strong overall outlook.” He
added, “There are questions, of course, such as the availability and
cost of skilled labor and materials to support these spending levels. There
will be inflationary pressures, no doubt.”

The
complete Construction Outlook 2006-2008 will be published by March of 2006.
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