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Construction Outlook

Charts and Diagrams

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About Construction Outlook
Charts and Diagrams

Total construction spending in New York City during 2002 is holding steady at $15.3 billion, compared to $15.9 billion in 2001 and $14.2 billion in 2000. This level of construction activity far exceeds citywide construction levels during the mid- to late-1990’s, when annual spending was calculated in the $10 billion range. Looking ahead, if capital plans are not significantly cut back, total construction spending is expected to remain constant in 2003 ($15.5 billion) and 2004 ($15.3 billion) before rising to $17.8 billion in 2005.

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New York City’s construction industry employment is expected to reach 123,000 in 2002, down slightly from 2001 when the City reached a record level of 124,800 workers. Total
construction-related employment was 90,200 in 1995 and has risen steadily since, topping 100,000 for the first time in 1998. Employment levels are expected to remain steady through 2005. Employment data includes skilled labor, contractors, architects, engineers and related professionals as well as field office workers, but excludes workers on public agency payrolls.

Employment in New York City began to increase in the mid-1990’s, and peaked in 2000 at about the same time office construction in Manhattan rose dramatically. From 1995-2000, just 2 major office buildings with a combined 2.1 million-sq. ft. were completed. Over the past two years, however, 7 such buildings have been completed, adding 5.6 million sq. ft. Another 7 buildings, with a combined 8.4 million-sq. ft., are in various phases of development and slated for completion from 2003-2005.

Residential construction spending in New York City is expected to reach $1.7 billion (12,300 units) in 2002. While this represents a 25 percent decline from a year ago, this level of spending is more than twice that of 1995 (5,135 units). Residential construction spiked from 1999-2001 in part because many developers sought to take advantage of zoning changes along Midtown’s Avenue of the Americas. Residential construction is expected to remain in the $1.7-1.8 billion (12,000 units) range through 2005. Total non-residential construction (which includes private commercial and institutional development) is expected to reach $4.3 billion in 2002 (13.5 million sq. ft. of developed space), a slight drop from 2001 ($4.6 billion/14.4 million sq. ft.). Activity levels remain well ahead of the mid-1990s ($2.75 billion/5.4 million-sq. ft. in 1995). Construction in this sector will change little in 2003 ($4.3 billion/ 13.5 million-sq. ft.). After a dip in 2004 ($3.4 billion/ 10.6 million sq. ft), a return to current levels is expected in 2005 ($4.2 billion/13.3 million sq. ft.).

Public sector construction accounts for much of New York City’s construction spending. Public construction, made up of new construction and repair and maintenance of various infrastructure systems, educational facilities and transportation networks, will total $9.1 billion in 2002, up from $8.9 billion in 2001. From 1995-1999, public construction spending ranged from $5.4-$6.6 billion. An analysis of capital budget plans indicates that total infrastructure spending will remain at $9.0 billion in 2003; and rise to $9.7 billion in 2004 and $11.0 billion in 2005.

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